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Betting tips for 'Sunday Night Football' - Steelers vs. Ravens

NFL, null, Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 17 of the NFL season continues Sunday night with the Baltimore Ravens (-2, 35) hosting the Pittsburgh Steelers M&T Bank Stadium (ESPN, 8:20 ET).

Betting analyst Tyler Fulghum and Football Outsiders' Aaron Schatz offer their insights into the games with tips and picks.

Note: Lines from Caesars Sportsbook unless otherwise indicated.


Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (-2, 35)

Sunday, 8:20 PM, at M&T Bank Stadium


The Steelers are fighting in December yet again after defeating the Raiders on a game-winning drive to cap off Christmas Day. They face a Ravens squad that needs a win to still have a chance at winning the AFC North and a home playoff game. This game has the lowest over/under of the week by three points. Can the Ravens walk away with a victory or will Mike Tomlin and the Steelers pull off the upset on New Year's Day?

Fulghum: I love Mike Tomlin. He's incredible. Prior to the season, I laughed at the books posting a win total of 7.5 for a guy who's never had a losing season in 15(!) years on the sideline. Despite all the struggles this season, here they are one win away from cashing that over. I don't think it's a lock by any stretch of the imagination against this Ravens team, especially on the road, but the Ravens are struggling mightily to score points. I comfortably like the under 35 points in this classic rivalry game. First team to 17-20 points probably wins the game. Picking a side is a toss-up here, but picking the total is a comfortable bet. This is going to be a classic Ravens-Steelers slugfest.

Schatz: I'll take the Steelers +2 here, as they rank 10th in offensive DVOA and fourth in defensive DVOA since Week 10. Baltimore is 24th on offense in that same timeframe, though also second on defense. The Ravens love to run the ball, but the Steelers' defense is sixth against the run. Ravens-Steelers games are always close, which suggests always taking the underdog and the points when these teams meet up.

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