2022 NFL Week 15 playoff-clinching scenarios

ESPN staffDec 16, 2022, 07:35 AM ET

With just four weeks left in the 2022 NFL regular season, the playoff picture is shaping up.

The Philadelphia Eagles have clinched their playoff spot in the NFC, and the San Francisco 49ers officially won the NFC West after their win over the Seattle Seahawks on Thursday. The Minnesota Vikings clinched the NFC North with a win over the Indianapolis Colts on Saturday night, and the Buffalo Bills earned a playoff berth with a win over the Miami Dolphins.

However, the remaining teams in both conferences are still looking to lock in their spots for the postseason and have a chance to do so in Week 15.

Here are the playoff-clinching scenarios for Week 15 as teams try to reach Super Bowl LVII on Feb. 12 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. The playoffs begin Jan. 14, with 14 total teams making the field, seven from the NFC and seven from the AFC.

AFC

Clinched:

Buffalo Bills -- playoff berth
Kansas City Chiefs -- AFC West

NFC

Clinched:

Philadelphia Eagles -- playoff berth
San Francisco 49ers -- NFC West
Minnesota Vikings -- NFC North
Dallas Cowboys -- playoff berth

NFL playoff chances, per ESPN's Football Power Index

Team	Playoff chances	Division title chances	Top seed chances
PHI	Clinched	88.6%	88.5%
KC	99.9%	99.9%	43.4%
DAL	99.9%	11.4%	11.1%
BUF	99.8%	94.5%	45.6%
BAL	99.6%	67.1%	3.4%
SF	Clinched	Clinched	0.2%
CIN	98.4%	32.9%	7.4%
MIN	99.9%	99.9%	0.2%
TEN	80.1%	79.9%	<0.1%
LAC	75.0%	<0.1%	<0.1%
TB	71.8%	71.5%	<0.1%
MIA	70.0%	5.0%	0.2%
WSH	70.0%	<0.1%	<0.1%
SEA	56.2%	4.3%	<0.1%
NYG	53.4%	<0.1%	<0.1%
NE	28.0%	0.4%	<0.1%
NYJ	25.0%	0.2%	<0.1%
CAR	23.8%	23.5%	<0.1%
JAX	19.6%	18.9%	<0.1%
DET	12.1%	0.1%	<0.1%
GB	8.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
ATL	4.4%	4.2%	<0.1%
LV	3.0%	<0.1%	<0.1%
IND	1.2%	1.2%	<0.1%
NO	0.9%	0.9%	<0.1%
CLE	0.2%	<0.1%	<0.1%
PIT	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
ARI	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
LAR	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%