ESPN

NFL quarterback projections for 2022: Best matchups, fantasy stars, stat leaders for all 272 games, plus an MVP top three

We have predicted yards, touchdowns and passer rating from all 272 games, with highlights from the most anticipated matchups.

Week 1
Season
Leaders
RATE
102.1
Rodgers
YDS
294
Mahomes
TDS
2
Mahomes
Season
Leaders
RATE
104.8
Rodgers
YDS
587
Mahomes
TDS
5
Mahomes
Season
Leaders
RATE
102.7
Rodgers
YDS
874
Mahomes
TDS
7
Mahomes
Season
Leaders
RATE
102.2
Rodgers
YDS
1,164
Mahomes
TDS
9
Mahomes
Season
Leaders
RATE
102.6
Rodgers
YDS
1,446
Mahomes
TDS
11
Mahomes
Season
Leaders
RATE
103.0
Rodgers
YDS
1,725
Mahomes
TDS
13
Mahomes
Season
Leaders
RATE
102.7
Rodgers
YDS
2,010
Mahomes
TDS
15
Mahomes
Season
Leaders
RATE
101.7
Rodgers
YDS
2,277
Brady
TDS
17
Brady
Season
Leaders
RATE
102.3
Rodgers
YDS
2,567
Brady
TDS
19
Rodgers
Season
Leaders
RATE
102.1
Rodgers
YDS
2,842
Brady
TDS
21
Brady
Season
Leaders
RATE
102.1
Rodgers
YDS
2,875
Mahomes
TDS
23
Rodgers
Season
Leaders
RATE
102.0
Rodgers
YDS
3,163
Mahomes
TDS
25
Rodgers
Season
Leaders
RATE
102.3
Rodgers
YDS
3,462
Mahomes
TDS
27
Mahomes
Season
Leaders
RATE
102.3
Rodgers
YDS
3,754
Mahomes
TDS
29
Rodgers
Season
Leaders
RATE
102.0
Rodgers
YDS
4,040
Mahomes
TDS
31
Mahomes
Season
Leaders
RATE
101.9
Rodgers
YDS
4,316
Mahomes
TDS
33
Mahomes
Season
Leaders
RATE
102.0
Rodgers
YDS
4,600
Mahomes
TDS
36
Mahomes
Season
Leaders
RATE
102.4
Rodgers
YDS
4,889
Mahomes
TDS
38
Mahomes

Projecting QB performances for all 272 games

Published September 5, 2022

Have you ever wanted to know exactly how the NFL season -- and MVP race -- would shake out before Week 1 even began? Well, now you've got your wish for 2022. We asked ESPN fantasy football guru Mike Clay to crunch the numbers and project the passing lines for every quarterback matchup of the season. Yes, all 272 games. We have yards, touchdowns, passer rating and more, highlighting the most anticipated matchups along the way. Clay also gives you fantasy tips for all 18 weeks, concluding with the top performers of the season. Dig in; you might learn something.

WEEK 1 CAN'T-MISS MATCHUP
WILSON VS. SMITH
98.4
RATE
86.1
21
CMP
22
33
ATT
35
251
YDS
250
2
TDS
1
1
INTS
1
Team favored
You thought we'd highlight a different game here? Russell Wilson’s first season in Denver starts with a return to the city he brought a Super Bowl title to in 2013. Geno Smith will be starting for the the Seahawks after winning the QB battle against Drew Lock -- who was also included in the megatrade that landed Wilson with the Broncos. This one will be fun.
WEEK 1 PASSER RATINGS
Team favored
Allen
Allen
93.5
Stafford
Stafford
95.1
Allen: 268 passing yards, 2 TDs
Stafford: 266 passing yards, 2 TDs
Winston
Winston
96.1
Mariota
Mariota
85.5
Winston: 225 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mariota: 233 passing yards, 1 TD
Lance
Lance
101.6
Fields
Fields
80.4
Lance: 211 passing yards, 2 TDs
Fields: 226 passing yards, 1 TD
Trubisky
Trubisky
84.5
Burrow
Burrow
99.9
Trubisky: 262 passing yards, 1 TD
Burrow: 249 passing yards, 2 TDs
Hurts
Hurts
99.6
Goff
Goff
85.5
Hurts: 227 passing yards, 2 TDs
Goff: 243 passing yards, 1 TD
Jones
M. Jones
83.6
Tagovailoa
Tagovailoa
95
Jones: 237 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tagovailoa: 247 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jackson
Jackson
97.5
Flacco
Flacco
85.3
Jackson: 222 passing yards, 2 TDs
Flacco: 259 passing yards, 1 TD
Lawrence
Lawrence
82.2
Wentz
Wentz
99.3
Lawrence: 240 passing yards, 1 TD
Wentz: 237 passing yards, 2 TDs
Brissett
Brissett
87.4
Mayfield
Mayfield
82.1
Brissett: 208 passing yards, 1 TD
Mayfield: 248 passing yards, 1 TD
Ryan
Ryan
98.3
Mills
Mills
84.3
Ryan: 241 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mills: 252 passing yards, 1 TD
Jones
D. Jones
83.2
Tannehill
Tannehill
96.7
Jones: 248 passing yards, 1 TD
Tannehill: 211 passing yards, 2 TDs
Rodgers
Rodgers
102.5
Cousins
Cousins
97.2
Rodgers: 270 passing yards, 2 TDs
Cousins: 256 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mahomes
Mahomes
95.5
Murray
Murray
96.5
Mahomes: 294 passing yards, 3 TDs
Murray: 266 passing yards, 2 TDs
Carr
Carr
97.3
Herbert
Herbert
96.4
Carr: 276 passing yards, 2 TDs
Herbert: 263 passing yards, 2 TDs
Brady
Brady
95.2
Prescott
Prescott
95.4
Brady: 290 passing yards, 2 TDs
Prescott: 279 passing yards, 2 TDs
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

The Buccaneers and Cowboys play the final game on Sunday, and it should be a blast. This matchup features two of the top three quarterbacks in terms of Week 1 passing yards, and Tampa Bay’s Tom Brady is the only one projected to go over 40 pass attempts this week. These two teams met in Week 1 last season, with Brady and Prescott combining for 782 passing yards and seven touchdowns.

WEEK 1 FANTASY TIP

Drafts this summer had a distinct top tier at the quarterback position, with Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert distancing themselves from the field. In Week 1, there is also a tier of three at the position, but Jalen Hurts (at Detroit) replaces Justin Herbert (vs. Las Vegas). Hurts is projected to clear 225 passing yards and 45 rushing yards against a shaky Lions defense. He did that three times last season and finished each of those weeks as a top-six fantasy QB.

67%
Completion percentage for Derek Carr in Week 2 (24 for 36)
WEEK 2 PASSER RATINGS
Team favored
Herbert
Herbert
96.8
Mahomes
Mahomes
95.8
Herbert: 284 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mahomes: 293 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson
Z. Wilson
80.4
Brissett
Brissett
87.2
Wilson: 236 passing yards, 1 TD
Brissett: 209 passing yards, 1 TD
Wentz
Wentz
100.4
Goff
Goff
95.1
Wentz: 241 passing yards, 2 TDs
Goff: 231 passing yards, 2 TDs
Brady
Brady
94.6
Winston
Winston
93.5
Brady: 286 passing yards, 2 TDs
Winston: 234 passing yards, 1 TD
Mayfield
Mayfield
82.4
Jones
D. Jones
84.4
Mayfield: 243 passing yards, 1 TD
Jones: 240 passing yards, 1 TD
Jones
M. Jones
85.3
Trubisky
Trubisky
84.5
Jones: 231 passing yards, 1 TD
Trubisky: 244 passing yards, 1 TD
Ryan
Ryan
100.4
Lawrence
Lawrence
82.2
Ryan: 243 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lawrence: 240 passing yards, 1 TD
Tagovailoa
Tagovailoa
95.9
Jackson
Jackson
96.9
Tagovailoa: 255 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jackson: 217 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mariota
Mariota
86.9
Stafford
Stafford
98.9
Mariota: 246 passing yards, 1 TD
Stafford: 255 passing yards, 2 TDs
Smith
Smith
85.9
Lance
Lance
102.4
Smith: 246 passing yards, 1 TD
Lance: 210 passing yards, 2 TDs
Burrow
Burrow
99
Prescott
Prescott
95.7
Burrow: 266 passing yards, 2 TDs
Prescott: 282 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mills
Mills
82.9
Wilson
R. Wilson
101.4
Mills: 261 passing yards, 1 TD
Wilson: 245 passing yards, 2 TDs
Murray
Murray
95.7
Carr
Carr
96.4
Murray: 259 passing yards, 2 TDs
Carr: 259 passing yards, 2 TDs
Fields
Fields
79.9
Rodgers
Rodgers
103.6
Fields: 229 passing yards, 1 TD
Rodgers: 250 passing yards, 3 TDs
Tannehill
Tannehill
83.2
Allen
Allen
95.3
Tannehill: 226 passing yards, 1 TD
Allen: 251 passing yards, 3 TDs
Cousins
Cousins
100
Hurts
Hurts
97.4
Cousins: 270 passing yards, 2 TDs
Hurts: 224 passing yards, 2 TDs
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

The week kicks off with the Chiefs hosting the Chargers, which might actually be good news for Justin Herbert. He has put up 583 yards, 7 touchdowns and 0 interceptions in his only two career trips to Arrowhead, leading L.A. to wins in both instances. He and Patrick Mahomes are both projected for 280-plus passing yards in Week 2.

WEEK 2 FANTASY TIP

A down week for the GOAT? Tom Brady projects as QB13, offering up his worst fantasy performance of the season with his Buccaneers heading to New Orleans to face a loaded defense. If you’re looking for a streamer this week, consider Daniel Jones (vs. Carolina) or Carson Wentz (at Detroit).

WEEK 3 CAN'T-MISS MATCHUP
rodgers vs. brady
99.8
RATE
94.2
25
CMP
27
37
ATT
41
266
YDS
282
2
TDS
2
1
INTS
1
Team favored
Will the Aaron Rodgers-Tom Brady showdown in Tampa live up to the hype? Rodgers has dropped three straight head-to-head matchups with Brady, losing by an average of 15.7 points and completing an un-MVP-like 57.9% of his passes. Expect both to clear 35 pass attempts in what projects as a tight game.
WEEK 3 PASSER RATINGS
Team favored
Mariota
Mariota
86.1
Smith
Smith
87.5
Mariota: 232 passing yards, 1 TD
Smith: 236 passing yards, 1 TD
Jackson
Jackson
93.9
Jones
M. Jones
83.3
Jackson: 223 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones: 242 passing yards, 1 TD
Allen
Allen
93.8
Tagovailoa
Tagovailoa
84.5
Allen: 252 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tagovailoa: 246 passing yards, 1 TD
Burrow
Burrow
102.6
Wilson
Z. Wilson
81.8
Burrow: 262 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson: 247 passing yards, 1 TD
Prescott
Prescott
98.8
Jones
D. Jones
83
Prescott: 266 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones: 245 passing yards, 1 TD
Goff
Goff
87
Cousins
Cousins
102.5
Goff: 247 passing yards, 1 TD
Cousins: 257 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mills
Mills
87.4
Fields
Fields
84.2
Mills: 252 passing yards, 1 TD
Fields: 223 passing yards, 1 TD
Lawrence
Lawrence
81.6
Herbert
Herbert
98.3
Lawrence: 255 passing yards, 1 TD
Herbert: 264 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mahomes
Mahomes
94.3
Ryan
Ryan
98.9
Mahomes: 287 passing yards, 2 TDs
Ryan: 252 passing yards, 2 TDs
Stafford
Stafford
98.1
Murray
Murray
86.7
Stafford: 278 passing yards, 2 TDs
Murray: 259 passing yards, 1 TD
Carr
Carr
96.8
Tannehill
Tannehill
85.2
Carr: 260 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tannehill: 222 passing yards, 1 TD
Winston
Winston
94.3
Mayfield
Mayfield
81.1
Winston: 226 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mayfield: 249 passing yards, 1 TD
Hurts
Hurts
84.9
Wentz
Wentz
86.8
Hurts: 220 passing yards, 1 TD
Wentz: 241 passing yards, 1 TD
Trubisky
Trubisky
83.8
Brissett
Brissett
86.1
Trubisky: 244 passing yards, 1 TD
Brissett: 201 passing yards, 1 TD
Lance
Lance
86.8
Wilson
R. Wilson
97.8
Lance: 224 passing yards, 1 TD
Wilson: 249 passing yards, 2 TDs
WEEK 3 FANTASY TIP

If there's a week to consider Justin Fields a breakout candidate, this is the spot. He and the Bears host a shaky Houston team in what projects to be his only real plus matchup during the first half of the season. Fields is a fine streaming option if you want to avoid Wilson or Lance, who face off in Denver.

WEEK 4 CAN'T-MISS MATCHUP
allen vs. jackson
94.4
RATE
81.8
24
CMP
21
37
ATT
33
262
YDS
219
2
TDS
1
1
INTS
1
Team favored
Can you name the only two QBs over the past three seasons to have a QBR over 60 with at least 1,100 rushing yards? If you guessed Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson, who square off in Week 4, you'd be right. Bills-Ravens could be an early AFC postseason litmus test.
WEEK 4 PASSER RATINGS
Team favored
 Tagovailoa
Tagovailoa
94.9
Burrow
Burrow
99.6
Tagovailoa: 260 passing yards, 2 TDs
Burrow: 255 passing yards, 2 TDs
Cousins
Cousins
88.7
Winston
Winston
93.9
Cousins: 260 passing yards, 2 TDs
Winston: 233 passing yards, 2 TDs
Brissett
Brissett
86.4
Mariota
Mariota
88.1
Brissett: 207 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mariota: 226 passing yards, 1 TD
Wentz
Wentz
86.6
Prescott
Prescott
96.9
Wentz: 240 passing yards, 2 TDs
Prescott: 268 passing yards, 2 TDs
Smith
Smith
98.8
Goff
Goff
95.9
Smith: 251 passing yards, 2 TDs
Goff: 231 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tannehill
Tannehill
85.4
Ryan
Ryan
95.8
Tannehill: 226 passing yards, 2 TDs
Ryan: 236 passing yards, 2 TDs
Fields
Fields
81.9
Jones
D. Jones
84.3
Fields: 220 passing yards, 1 TD
Jones: 241 passing yards, 1 TD
Lawrence
Lawrence
82.3
Hurts
Hurts
98.1
Lawrence: 252 passing yards, 1 TD
Hurts: 220 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson
Z. Wilson
82.4
Trubisky
Trubisky
85.3
Wilson: 231 passing yards, 2 TDs
Trubisky: 245 passing yards, 2 TDs
Herbert
Herbert
100.4
Mills
Mills
83.3
Herbert: 264 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mills: 263 passing yards, 1 TD
Murray
Murray
97.3
Mayfield
Mayfield
83.2
Murray: 251 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mayfield: 253 passing yards, 1 TD
Jones
M. Jones
96.7
Rodgers
Rodgers
99
Jones: 239 passing yards, 2 TDs
Rodgers: 255 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson
R. Wilson
96.6
Carr
Carr
97.1
Wilson: 256 passing yards, 2 TDs
Carr: 259 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mahomes
Mahomes
93.6
Brady
Brady
96.7
Mahomes: 291 passing yards, 2 TDs
Brady: 301 passing yards, 2 TDs
Stafford
Stafford
97.3
Lance
Lance
88.2
Stafford: 271 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lance: 224 passing yards, 2 TDs
WEEK 4 FANTASY TIP

Tom Brady’s projected pass attempts, pass completions and passing yardage are the highest for any QB in a single week of the season. He led the position in top-10 fantasy finishes last season and is sure to be throwing it a ton in order to keep up with Mahomes here in Week 4.

223
Passing yards for Ryan Tannehill in Week 5
WEEK 5 PASSER RATINGS
Team favored
 Ryan
Ryan
85.4
Wilson
R. Wilson
97.1
Ryan: 248 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson: 249 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones
D. Jones
81.9
Rodgers
Rodgers
100.1
Jones: 247 passing yards, 1 TD
Rodgers: 256 passing yards, 2 TDs
Trubisky
Trubisky
81.6
Allen
Allen
96.6
Trubisky: 249 passing yards, 1 TD
Allen: 241 passing yards 3 TDs
Herbert
Herbert
96.1
Brissett
Brissett
84.5
Herbert: 261 passing yards, 2 TDs
Brissett: 221 passing yards, 1 TD
Fields
Fields
81.9
Cousins
Cousins
100.1
Fields: 236 passing yards, 1 TD
Cousins: 248 passing yards, 2 TDs
Goff
Goff
86.1
Jones
M. Jones
81.9
Goff: 238 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones: 247 passing yards, 1 TD
Smith
Smith
87
Winston
Winston
96.5
Smith: 249 passing yards, 1 TD
Winston: 222 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tagovailoa
Tagovailoa
98.3
Wilson
Z. Wilson
80.1
Tagovailoa: 249 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson: 235 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mariota
Mariota
84.7
Brady
Brady
99.3
Mariota: 240 passing yards, 1 TD
Brady: 275 passing yards, 3 TDs
Tannehill
Tannehill
84
Wentz
Wentz
95.6
Tannehill: 223 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wentz: 231 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mills
Mills
87.2
Lawrence
Lawrence
92.6
Mills: 259 passing yards, 1 TD
Lawrence: 239 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lance
Lance
91.3
Mayfield
Mayfield
81.1
Lance: 212 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mayfield: 249 passing yards, 1 TD
Prescott
Prescott
95.8
Stafford
Stafford
97.8
Prescott: 290 passing yards, 2 TDs
Stafford: 266 passing yards, 2 TDs
Hurts
Hurts
95.1
Murray
Murray
97
Hurts: 228 passing yards, 2 TDs
Murray: 259 passing yards, 2 TDs
Burrow
Burrow
99.8
Jackson
Jackson
85.2
Burrow: 269 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jackson: 230 passing yards, 2 TDs
Carr
Carr
96.3
Mahomes
Mahomes
96.2
Carr: 277 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mahomes: 282 passing yards, 3 TDs
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

Patrick Mahomes is 7-1 lifetime against the Raiders, averaging 318.3 passing yards and 2.8 passing touchdowns in those games. He'll be busier than usual this week against an improved Vegas team, though the same can be said for Derek Carr, who figures to push for 40 pass attempts.

WEEK 5 FANTASY TIP

With the Rams on the slate this week and the Eagles on deck, Dak Prescott's projections show him with his top two games in terms of passing yards. Keep that in mind if you’re searching the trade block for QB help.

WEEK 6 CAN'T-MISS MATCHUP
prescott vs. hurts
96.3
RATE
96
25
CMP
19
39
ATT
30
288
YDS
220
2
TDS
2
1
INTS
1
Team favored
Did you know the NFC East hasn't had a repeat champion since the 2004 Eagles? Dak Prescott and the Cowboys won it last season, but Jalen Hurts' Eagles are on the rise. The QB who gets the best of this matchup could put his team on the early track to a division title.
WEEK 6 PASSER RATINGS
Team favored
 Wentz
Wentz
100.6
Fields
Fields
81
Wentz: 231 passing yards, 2 TDs
Fields: 222 passing yards, 1 TD
Lance
Lance
102.1
Mariota
Mariota
85.3
Lance: 210 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mariota: 231 passing yards, 1 TD
Jones
M. Jones
84.4
Brissett
Brissett
84.8
Jones: 249 passing yards, 1 TD
Brissett: 209 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson
Z. Wilson
79.9
Rodgers
Rodgers
103.1
Wilson: 240 passing yards, 1 TD
Rodgers: 256 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lawrence
Lawrence
81
Ryan
Ryan
99.2
Lawrence: 243 passing yards, 1 TD
Ryan: 240 passing yards, 2 TDs
Cousins
Cousins
99.7
Tagovailoa
Tagovailoa
97.8
Cousins: 256 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tagovailoa: 254 passing yards, 2 TDs
Burrow
Burrow
99
Winston
Winston
83.8
Burrow: 264 passing yards, 2 TDs
Winston: 237 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jackson
Jackson
94.9
Jones
D. Jones
84.4
Jackson: 214 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones: 249 passing yards, 1 TD
Brady
Brady
96
Trubisky
Trubisky
82.6
Brady: 274 passing yards, 2 TDs
Trubisky: 253 passing yards, 1 TD
Mayfield
Mayfield
82.9
Stafford
Stafford
97.9
Mayfield: 264 passing yards, 1 TD
Stafford: 258 passing yards, 2 TDs
Murray
Murray
97.1
Smith
Smith
87.6
Murray: 253 passing yards, 2 TDs
Smith: 248 passing yards, 2 TDs
Allen
Allen
93.9
Mahomes
Mahomes
92.4
Allen: 273 passing yards, 3 TDs
Mahomes: 279 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson
R. Wilson
96.2
Herbert
Herbert
95
Wilson: 267 passing yards, 2 TDs
Herbert: 265 passing yards, 2 TDs
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

The Chargers host the Broncos on Monday Night Football in the first of their two meetings this season, and all eyes will be on the quarterbacks. Justin Herbert enters the season having thrown for 300 yards in half of his divisional games, and Russell Wilson will have had five weeks to adjust to life in Denver.

WEEK 6 FANTASY TIP

Set to face the high-scoring Chiefs, Josh Allen's projection shows him pacing the position in fantasy points by nearly three points this week, the second-widest gap between QB1 and QB2 this season. (The largest comes in Week 12 when Allen travels to Detroit.)

11
Total passing TDs for Jameis Winston through Week 7
WEEK 7 PASSER RATINGS
Team favored
Winston
Winston
93.5
Murray
Murray
87.1
Winston: 238 passing yards, 2 TDs
Murray: 250 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mariota
Mariota
85.3
Burrow
Burrow
101.4
Mariota: 246 passing yards, 1 TD
Burrow: 249 passing yards, 2 TDs
Goff
Goff
85.5
Prescott
Prescott
98
Goff: 242 passing yards, 2 TDs
Prescott: 275 passing yards, 3 TDs
Ryan
Ryan
87.7
Tannehill
Tannehill
87.4
Ryan: 242 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tannehill: 221 passing yards, 2 TDs
Rodgers
Rodgers
99.1
Wentz
Wentz
85.4
Rodgers: 258 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wentz: 232 passing yards, 1 TD
Brady
Brady
96.6
Mayfield
Mayfield
81.1
Brady: 281 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mayfield: 256 passing yards, 1 TD
Jones
D. Jones
85.9
Lawrence
Lawrence
92.2
Jones: 252 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lawrence: 229 passing yards, 2 TDs
Brissett
Brissett
83.8
Jackson
Jackson
84.6
Brissett: 219 passing yards, 1 TD
Jackson: 214 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson
Z. Wilson
81.1
Wilson
R. Wilson
100.5
Z. Wilson: 245 passing yards, 2 TDs
R. Wilson: 248 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mills
Mills
84.2
Carr
Carr
100.8
Mills: 259 passing yards, 1 TD
Carr: 252 passing yards, 2 TDs
Smith
Smith
87.6
Herbert
Herbert
99.1
Smith: 261 passing yards, 1 TD
Herbert: 256 passing yards, 3 TDs
Mahomes
Mahomes
94.3
Lance
Lance
88.6
Mahomes: 285 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lance: 229 passing yards, 2 TDs
Trubisky
Trubisky
84.1
Tagovailoa
Tagovailoa
96.3
Trubisky: 246 passing yards, 1 TD
Tagovailoa: 237 passing yards, 2 TDs
Fields
Fields
81.1
Jones
M. Jones
98.3
Fields: 228 passing yards, 1 TD
Jones: 230 passing yards, 2 TDs
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

After hardly seeing the field as a rookie, Patrick Mahomes lit the NFL world ablaze with a historic sophomore campaign in 2018. Trey Lance is trying to follow a similar path and could enjoy a breakout in Week 7. He projects for a season high in total yards (pass and rush) in this showdown with the Chiefs.

WEEK 7 FANTASY TIP

For the first and only time this season, Dak Prescott (home vs. Detroit) projects as the top-scoring fantasy QB (21.8 points). He is a lineup lock most weeks, but Daniel Jones (at Jacksonville) and Derek Carr (vs. Houston) are not and could be solid streaming options in Week 7.

WEEK 8 CAN'T-MISS MATCHUP
wentz vs. ryan
87.1
RATE
97
22
CMP
21
34
ATT
33
238
YDS
234
1
TDS
2
1
INTS
1
Team favored
It’s the battle of QBs in new places, with Carson Wentz leading the Commanders at Matt Ryan’s Colts. Wentz, on his third team in three years, could play his way into a new contract -- or into a backup role. Ryan, meanwhile, has a chance to put his Hall of Fame candidacy over the top after 14 seasons in Atlanta (with one MVP).
WEEK 8 PASSER RATINGS
Team favored
Jackson
Jackson
83
Brady
Brady
94.9
Jackson: 229 passing yards, 2 TDs
Brady: 289 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson
R. Wilson
99.9
Lawrence
Lawrence
80.7
Wilson: 257 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lawrence: 242 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mayfield
Mayfield
82.4
Mariota
Mariota
86.5
Mayfield: 247 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mariota: 226 passing yards, 2 TDs
Fields
Fields
81.5
Prescott
Prescott
98.4
Fields: 231 passing yards, 1 TD
Prescott: 265 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tagovailoa
Tagovailoa
98.7
Goff
Goff
85.5
Tagovailoa: 254 passing yards, 2 TDs
Goff: 231 passing yards, 2 TDs
Murray
Murray
96.5
Cousins
Cousins
100.1
Murray: 264 passing yards, 2 TDs
Cousins: 259 passing yards, 2 TDs
Carr
Carr
87
Winston
Winston
93.5
Carr: 262 passing yards, 2 TDs
Winston: 228 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones
M. Jones
96.8
Wilson
Z. Wilson
81
Jones: 240 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson: 236 passing yards, 2 TDs
Trubisky
Trubisky
85.8
Hurts
Hurts
84.6
Trubisky: 259 passing yards, 1 TD
Hurts: 208 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tannehill
Tannehill
98.2
Mills
Mills
83.2
Tannehill: 222 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mills: 251 passing yards, 1 TD
Lance
Lance
90.4
Stafford
Stafford
96.6
Lance: 230 passing yards, 1 TD
Stafford: 265 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones
D. Jones
86.8
Smith
Smith
88
Jones: 245 passing yards, 2 TDs
Smith: 234 passing yards, 2 TDs
Rodgers
Rodgers
97.5
Allen
Allen
91.2
Rodgers: 260 passing yards, 2 TDs
Allen: 251 passing yards, 2 TDs
Burrow
Burrow
100
Brissett
Brissett
84.2
Burrow: 257 passing yards, 2 TDs
Brissett: 220 passing yards, 1 TD
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

Conflicting styles clash on Thursday Night Football when the Ravens travel to Tampa Bay to take on the Buccaneers. While it’s possible Tom Brady struggles against this revamped defense, watch out for Lamar Jackson the passer, as he projects for his highest pass volume of the season.

WEEK 8 FANTASY TIP

Aaron Rodgers and Josh Allen square off in Week 8, which could make for one of the best games of the season. Of course, both Green Bay and Buffalo have excellent defenses, so don't be shocked if this game isn't an offensive bonanza. Both QBs project for their lowest statistical output of the season.

86.6
Jared Goff's total passer rating in two games vs. Green Bay
WEEK 9 PASSER RATINGS
Team favored
Hurts
Hurts
100.4
Mills
Mills
84.6
Hurts: 219 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mills: 261 passing yards, 1 TD
Herbert
Herbert
99
Mariota
Mariota
84.4
Herbert: 259 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mariota: 242 passing yards, 1 TD
Tagovailoa
Tagovailoa
98.4
Fields
Fields
81.1
Tagovailoa: 243 passing yards, 2 TDs
Fields: 223 passing yards, 1 TD
Mayfield
Mayfield
82.9
Burrow
Burrow
103.1
Mayfield: 264 passing yards, 1 TD
Burrow: 252 passing yards, 2 TDs
Rodgers
Rodgers
103.8
Goff
Goff
84.2
Rodgers: 266 passing yards, 2 TDs
Goff: 234 passing yards, 1 TD
Ryan
Ryan
86.6
Jones
M. Jones
94.6
Ryan: 242 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones: 235 passing yards, 2 TDs
Allen
Allen
96.8
Wilson
Z. Wilson
78.8
Allen: 256 passing yards, 3 TDs
Wilson: 235 passing yards, 1 TD
Cousins
Cousins
97.7
Wentz
Wentz
98.5
Cousins: 258 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wentz: 239 passing yards, 2 TDs
Carr
Carr
100.1
Lawrence
Lawrence
81.8
Carr: 265 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lawrence: 239 passing yards, 2 TDs
Smith
Smith
87.1
Murray
Murray
98.3
Smith: 254 passing yards, 2 TDs
Murray: 246 passing yards, 2 TDs
Stafford
Stafford
95.1
Brady
Brady
96.2
Stafford: 280 passing yards, 2 TDs
Brady: 290 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tannehill
Tannehill
86.6
Mahomes
Mahomes
96.5
Tannehill: 241 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mahomes: 280 passing yards, 3 TDs
Jackson
Jackson
84
Winston
Winston
84.6
Jackson: 225 passing yards, 2 TDs
Winston: 232 passing yards, 2 TDs
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

Matthew Stafford won a Super Bowl title, but that doesn't change the fact that he went 2-5 in the regular season against playoff teams in 2021. He threw multiple interceptions in three of those losses, and that's not going to get it done against Tom Brady in this spot.

WEEK 9 FANTASY TIP

Aaron Rodgers projects as QB5 in Detroit this week, his highest finish at the position of the season and one of three top-five finishes he has during the second half of 2022 (Weeks 10 and 17). If you’re looking for a streamer this week, consider Tua Tagovailoa against a rebuilding Chicago defense.

WEEK 10 CAN'T-MISS MATCHUP
murray vs. stafford
87.3
RATE
99.5
25
CMP
23
37
ATT
35
267
YDS
270
1
TDS
2
1
INTS
1
Team favored
Kyler Murray and Matthew Stafford both signed new long-term contracts this offseason, but one QB is coming off a Super Bowl title, while the other had one of the worst performances of his career in his final game (7.9 QBR!) of the 2021 season -- which came against Stafford’s Rams. Can Murray and the Cardinals put everything together?
WEEK 10 PASSER RATINGS
Team favored
Ridder
Ridder
82
Mayfield
Mayfield
82.9
Ridder: 224 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mayfield: 242 passing yards, 2 TDs
Smith
Smith
86.8
Brady
Brady
99.6
Smith: 256 passing yards, 1 TD
Brady: 276 passing yards, 3 TDs
Cousins
Cousins
86.6
Allen
Allen
94.1
Cousins: 261 passing yards, 2 TDs
Allen: 257 passing yards, 3 TDs
Goff
Goff
96.8
Fields
Fields
85.4
Goff: 236 passing yards, 2 TDs
Fields: 226 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson
R. Wilson
96.3
Tannehill
Tannehill
85
Wilson: 253 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tannehill: 225 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lawrence
Lawrence
82.1
Mahomes
Mahomes
99.7
Lawrence: 258 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mahomes: 285 passing yards, 3 TDs
Brissett
Brissett
84.9
Tagovailoa
Tagovailoa
97.4
Brissett: 212 passing yards, 1 TD
Tagovailoa: 240 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mills
Mills
84.5
Jones
D. Jones
97
Mills: 248 passing yards, 1 TD
Jones: 242 passing yards, 2 TDs
Winston
Winston
84.5
Pickett
Pickett
78.6
Winston: 221 passing yards, 2 TDs
Pickett: 235 passing yards, 1 TD
Ryan
Ryan
88.2
Carr
Carr
95.6
Ryan: 245 passing yards, 2 TDs
Carr: 255 passing yards, 2 TDs
Prescott
Prescott
92.9
Rodgers
Rodgers
101.5
Prescott: 279 passing yards, 2 TDs
Rodgers: 257 passing yards, 2 TDs
Herbert
Herbert
96
Lance
Lance
87.8
Herbert: 266 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lance: 227 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wentz
Wentz
88.4
Hurts
Hurts
94.2
Wentz: 246 passing yards, 2 TDs
Hurts: 215 passing yards, 2 TDs
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

Rookies Desmond Ridder (at Carolina) and Kenny Pickett (vs. New Orleans) are both projected to make their debuts as their teams' starting QB this week. Neither is likely to load up the box score, but pay attention to Ridder's versatility. He is one of five QBs projected for at least 32 pass attempts and 23 rushing yards in Week 10.

WEEK 10 FANTASY TIP

Patrick Mahomes hosts the Jaguars this week, and as a result, he owns his highest projection of the season (and 12th-highest by a QB in 2022). More than 300 passing yards is extremely possible, something he has done a league-high 31 times since 2018. Streamers should consider Daniel Jones (vs. Houston) and Justin Fields (vs. Detroit).

WEEK 11 CAN'T-MISS MATCHUP
mahomes vs. herbert
95.4
RATE
97.2
26
CMP
24
40
ATT
37
300
YDS
277
2
TDS
2
1
INTS
1
Team favored
Justin Herbert has yet to beat Patrick Mahomes' Chiefs in a home game, losing in overtime in both instances. Will that change in Week 11? Both project as top-three fantasy QBs this week, with each over 275 yards and Herbert No. 1 at the position in touchdown passes.
WEEK 11 PASSER RATINGS
Team favored
Tannehill
Tannehill
84.5
Rodgers
Rodgers
99.9
Tannehill: 227 passing yards, 1 TD
Rodgers: 254 passing yards, 2 TDs
Fields
Fields
81.9
Ridder
Ridder
82.2
Fields: 224 passing yards, 1 TD
Ridder: 218 passing yards, 2 TDs
Brissett
Brissett
82.7
Allen
Allen
94.1
Brissett: 214 passing yards, 1 TD
Allen: 245 passing yards, 2 TDs
Hurts
Hurts
83.4
Ryan
Ryan
87.1
Hurts: 223 passing yards, 2 TDs
Ryan: 246 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson
Z. Wilson
80.7
Jones
M. Jones
97.7
Wilson: 241 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones: 234 passing yards, 2 TDs
Stafford
Stafford
95.1
Winston
Winston
83.4
Stafford: 272 passing yards, 2 TDs
Winston: 236 passing yards, 2 TDs
Goff
Goff
97.2
Jones
D. Jones
95.8
Goff: 231 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones: 247 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mayfield
Mayfield
81.3
Jackson
Jackson
98.9
Mayfield: 259 passing yards, 1 TD
Jackson: 214 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wentz
Wentz
101.4
Mills
Mills
83.4
Wentz: 235 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mills: 229 passing yards, 1 TD
Carr
Carr
96.7
Wilson
R. Wilson
97.4
Carr: 266 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson: 250 passing yards, 2 TDs
Prescott
Prescott
96
Cousins
Cousins
98.5
Prescott: 287 passing yards, 2 TDs
Cousins: 256 passing yards, 2 TDs
Burrow
Burrow
101.5
Pickett
Pickett
79.3
Burrow: 253 passing yards, 2 TDs
Pickett: 243 passing yards, 1 TD
Lance
Lance
90.2
Murray
Murray
85.1
Lance: 223 passing yards, 2 TDs
Murray: 251 passing yards, 2 TDs
WEEK 11 FANTASY TIP

Daniel Jones has stood out as a potential streaming option several times this season, but that's especially the case this week against Detroit. His 18.5-point fantasy projection is his highest of the season and 10th among QBs this week.

3,028
Total passing yards for Baker Mayfield through Week 12
WEEK 12 PASSER RATINGS
Team favored
Allen
Allen
96.1
Goff
Goff
84.4
Allen: 262 passing yards, 3 TDs
Goff: 233 passing yards, 1 TD
Jones
D. Jones
84.7
Prescott
Prescott
96.4
Jones: 250 passing yards, 1 TD
Prescott: 261 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones
M. Jones
94.7
Cousins
Cousins
99.6
Jones: 248 passing yards, 2 TDs
Cousins: 253 passing yards, 2 TDs
Brady
Brady
95.7
Brissett
Brissett
84.7
Brady: 280 passing yards, 2 TDs
Brissett: 216 passing yards, 1 TD
Burrow
Burrow
99.6
Tannehill
Tannehill
84.9
Burrow: 262 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tannehill: 232 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mills
Mills
83.1
Tagovailoa
Tagovailoa
100.3
Mills: 255 passing yards, 1 TD
Tagovailoa: 242 passing yards, 2 TDs
Fields
Fields
82.4
Wilson
Z. Wilson
95.1
Fields: 229 passing yards, 1 TD
Wilson: 232 passing yards, 2 TDs
Ridder
Ridder
78.9
Wentz
Wentz
99.3
Ridder: 225 passing yards, 1 TD
Wentz: 225 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson
R. Wilson
98.4
Mayfield
Mayfield
81.6
Wilson: 249 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mayfield: 253 passing yards, 1 TD
Jackson
Jackson
98.8
Lawrence
Lawrence
80.2
Jackson: 226 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lawrence: 244 passing yards, 1 TD
Herbert
Herbert
96.9
Murray
Murray
96.1
Herbert: 274 passing yards, 2 TDs
Murray: 262 passing yards, 2 TDs
Carr
Carr
98.6
Lock
Lock
85.4
Carr: 259 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lock: 244 passing yards, 2 TDs
Stafford
Stafford
98.5
Mahomes
Mahomes
95.8
Stafford: 290 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mahomes: 288 passing yards, 2 TDs
Winston
Winston
82.6
Lance
Lance
87
Winston: 232 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lance: 215 passing yards, 1 TD
Rodgers
Rodgers
102.8
Hurts
Hurts
83
Rodgers: 270 passing yards, 2 TDs
Hurts: 218 passing yards, 2 TDs
Pickett
Pickett
79.1
Ryan
Ryan
87.1
Pickett: 239 passing yards, 1 TD
Ryan: 227 passing yards, 2 TDs
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

After a Week 11 bye and with the support of the home crowd, Drew Lock is projected to replace Geno Smith under center for the Seahawks in Week 12. Don't expect a major change in offensive output, however, as Smith is averaging just 249 yards per game up to this point and Lock projects for 244 against the Raiders.

WEEK 12 FANTASY TIP

Coming off a bye and with two months of live action in the books, this is a great spot for Tua Tagovailoa. His Dolphins host the Texans, and he projects for his second-best fantasy effort of the season (1.5 points better than any of his remaining games). Meanwhile, Josh Allen projects for 25.3 fantasy points in Detroit on Thanksgiving -- the highest point total projection for a QB this season.

WEEK 13 CAN'T-MISS MATCHUP
tagovailoa vs. Lance
86.5
RATE
89.6
24
CMP
18
36
ATT
28
249
YDS
212
2
TDS
1
1
INTS
1
Team favored
This could be the battle of the unknowns, as Tua Tagovailoa’s Dolphins and Trey Lance’s 49ers are two of the toughest teams to project in 2022. If things are clicking for both QBs, they could be in the MVP discussion. If things are going poorly, well, they might not actually make it to Week 13 as starters -- and their teams could be out of the playoff race.
WEEK 13 PASSER RATINGS
Team favored
Allen
Allen
93.4
Jones
M. Jones
83.8
Allen: 257 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones: 234 passing yards, 1 TD
Pickett
Pickett
81.6
Ridder
Ridder
81.4
Pickett: 232 passing yards, 2 TDs
Ridder: 215 passing yards, 1 TD
Rodgers
Rodgers
102.6
Fields
Fields
80.4
Rodgers: 256 passing yards, 2 TDs
Fields: 224 passing yards, 1 TD
Lawrence
Lawrence
93
Goff
Goff
98.8
Lawrence: 248 passing yards, 2 TDs
Goff: 238 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson
Z. Wilson
80.9
Cousins
Cousins
99.9
Wilson: 249 passing yards, 2 TDs
Cousins: 254 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wentz
Wentz
98.7
Jones
D. Jones
83.8
Wentz: 228 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones: 240 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tannehill
Tannehill
85.8
Hurts
Hurts
93.8
Tannehill: 235 passing yards, 2 TDs
Hurts: 216 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson
R. Wilson
97
Jackson
Jackson
95.8
Wilson: 261 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jackson: 223 passing yards, 2 TDs
Watson
Watson
103.8
Mills
Mills
83.1
Watson: 230 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mills: 255 passing yards, 1 TD
Lock
Lock
84.6
Stafford
Stafford
100.4
Lock: 259 passing yards, 1 TD
Stafford: 259 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mahomes
Mahomes
95.1
Burrow
Burrow
99.8
Mahomes: 299 passing yards, 2 TDs
Burrow: 273 passing yards, 2 TDs
Herbert
Herbert
96.1
Carr
Carr
97
Herbert: 269 passing yards, 2 TDs
Carr: 267 passing yards, 2 TDs
Ryan
Ryan
87.4
Prescott
Prescott
97.7
Ryan: 246 passing yards, 2 TDs
Prescott: 271 passing yards, 2 TDs
Winston
Winston
83
Brady
Brady
95.1
Winston: 240 passing yards, 2 TDs
Brady: 279 passing yards, 2 TDs
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

The Lamar Jackson and Russell Wilson showdown in Baltimore could have AFC wild-card implications. Both QBs project for roughly 280 yards of offense. We'll also see an AFC Championship Game rematch between the Chiefs and Bengals. Mahomes' pass yardage projection is third highest for any player in a single week, and Burrow should see a boost in pass volume in a game in which he'll be required to throw more than usual.

WEEK 13 FANTASY TIP

Jalen Hurts projects as a top-three quarterback 11 times this season, and that includes Weeks 13 through 15. Keep that in mind as you look to position yourself for the fantasy playoffs.

102.2
Passer rating for Kirk Cousins in Week 14
WEEK 14 PASSER RATINGS
Team favored
Carr
Carr
87.2
Stafford
Stafford
98.8
Carr: 272 passing yards, 2 TDs
Stafford: 266 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson
Z. Wilson
78.4
Allen
Allen
97.7
Wilson: 240 passing yards, 1 TD
Allen: 250 passing yards, 3 TDs
Watson
Watson
88.3
Burrow
Burrow
100.9
Watson: 245 passing yards, 2 TDs
Burrow: 260 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mills
Mills
84.4
Prescott
Prescott
98.8
Mills: 260 passing yards, 1 TD
Prescott: 268 passing yards, 2 TDs
Cousins
Cousins
102.2
Goff
Goff
96.9
Cousins: 265 passing yards, 2 TDs
Goff: 240 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lawrence
Lawrence
81
Tannehill
Tannehill
99.2
Lawrence: 242 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tannehill: 223 passing yards, 2 TDs
Hurts
Hurts
96
Jones
D. Jones
85
Hurts: 214 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones: 252 passing yards, 1 TD
Jackson
Jackson
86
Pickett
Pickett
77.9
Jackson: 214 passing yards, 2 TDs
Pickett: 239 passing yards, 1 TD
Tagovailoa
Tagovailoa
86.8
Herbert
Herbert
95.4
Tagovailoa: 262 passing yards, 2 TDs
Herbert: 258 passing yards, 2 TDs
Brady
Brady
95.3
Lance
Lance
86.9
Brady: 285 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lance: 223 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mayfield
Mayfield
84.8
Lock
Lock
84.7
Mayfield: 251 passing yards, 1 TD1
Lock: 238 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mahomes
Mahomes
95.7
Wilson
R. Wilson
97.4
Mahomes: 292 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson: 263 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones
M. Jones
93.9
Murray
Murray
96.5
Jones: 247 passing yards, 2 TDs
Murray: 249 passing yards, 2 TDs
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

Primetime AFC West showdowns are always going to be appointment viewing, and Kansas City at Denver should be no exception. Russell Wilson, looking to establish a new hierarchy in this division, has a 29-11-1 (29-8-1 if you remove last season’s mess) career record in primetime games on his résumé.

WEEK 14 FANTASY TIP

Justin Herbert is set up well for a big season, but there are six weeks in which he projects lower than fifth in fantasy points. The bad news for fantasy managers? Three of those instances come over the next month -- Weeks 14, 16 and 17 -- the most critical on the fantasy calendar.

WEEK 15 CAN'T-MISS MATCHUP
BURROW VS. BRADY
98.6
RATE
95.6
24
CMP
27
36
ATT
41
272
YDS
292
2
TDS
2
1
INTS
1
Team favored
Joe Burrow has been compared favorably to Tom Brady, but after a surprise run to Super Bowl LVI last season, he still needs nine more title game appearances to catch the GOAT. The Bengals and Bucs both believe they're contenders again, and this matchup could have massive implications for the playoff field.
WEEK 15 PASSER RATINGS
Team favored
Lance
Lance
91.6
Lock
Lock
83.6
Lance: 214 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lock: 243 passing yards, 1 TD
Tagovailoa
Tagovailoa
83.3
Allen
Allen
95.2
Tagovailoa: 249 passing yards, 2 TDs
Allen: 248 passing yards, 3 TDs
Jackson
Jackson
84.4
Watson
Watson
100.3
Jackson: 228 passing yards, 2 TDs
Watson: 233 passing yards, 2 TDs
Ryan
Ryan
98.5
Cousins
Cousins
99.2
Ryan: 251 passing yards, 2 TDs
Cousins: 254 passing yards, 2 TDs
Ridder
Ridder
78.9
Winston
Winston
96.9
Ridder: 229 passing yards, 1 TD
Winston: 218 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones
D. Jones
83.3
Wentz
Wentz
99.4
Jones: 246 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wentz: 222 passing yards, 2 TDs
Hurts
Hurts
96.8
Fields
Fields
84.4
Hurts: 217 passing yards, 2 TDs
Fields: 232 passing yards, 1 TD
Goff
Goff
96.3
Wilson
Z. Wilson
94.1
Goff: 241 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson: 239 passing yards, 2 TDs
Pickett
Pickett
80.4
Mayfield
Mayfield
82.8
Pickett: 233 passing yards, 1 TD
Mayfield: 239 passing yards, 1 TD
Prescott
Prescott
98.3
Lawrence
Lawrence
81
Prescott: 282 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lawrence: 240 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mahomes
Mahomes
99.3
Mills
Mills
85
Mahomes: 286 passing yards, 3 TDs
Mills: 266 passing yards, 1 TD
Murray
Murray
94.7
Wilson
R. Wilson
97.4
Murray: 262 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson: 253 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tannehill
Tannehill
84.8
Herbert
Herbert
97.7
Tannehill: 239 passing yards, 2 TDs
Herbert: 259 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones
M. Jones
94.2
Carr
Carr
96.1
Jones: 243 passing yards, 2 TDs
Carr: 254 passing yards, 2 TDs
Stafford
Stafford
95.8
Rodgers
Rodgers
101.3
Stafford: 272 passing yards, 2 TDs
Rodgers: 265 passing yards, 2 TDs
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

The Packers and Rams -- two of the three favorites to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl -- square off to put a bow on Week 15. Both Aaron Rodgers and Matthew Stafford project to exceed their season average in passing yards, but they might not find the end zone as often as they go toe-to-toe in what could be a critical game for postseason seeding.

WEEK 15 FANTASY TIP

Josh Allen (vs. Miami) again tops the QB ranks for this week, but there won't be a shortage of high-end performances as both Patrick Mahomes (at Houston) and Jalen Hurts (at Chicago) have favorable matchups that land them their second-highest fantasy projections of the season. Zach Wilson (vs. Detroit) could make a rare appearance on the streaming radar.

WEEK 16 CAN'T-MISS MATCHUP
LAWRENCE VS. WILSON
83.5
RATE
92.3
23
CMP
21
35
ATT
34
244
YDS
240
2
TDS
2
1
INTS
1
Team favored
No, the Jaguars and Jets are not likely to be playoff contenders this season, but they have their quarterbacks of the future ... right? Trevor Lawrence, the No. 1 pick in the 2021 draft, faces Zach Wilson, the No. 2 pick in the same draft. They both struggled as rookies but have the talent around them to take a big step forward in 2022.
WEEK 16 PASSER RATINGS
Team favored
Allen
Allen
97.4
Fields
Fields
79
Allen: 252 passing yards, 3 TDs
Fields: 223 passing yards, 1 TD
Winston
Winston
83.4
Watson
Watson
88.4
Winston: 236 passing yards, 2 TDs
Watson: 228 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mills
Mills
83.1
Tannehill
Tannehill
98.8
Mills: 257 passing yards, 1 TD
Tannehill: 216 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lock
Lock
84.8
Mahomes
Mahomes
97.7
Lock: 265 passing yards, 1 TD
Mahomes: 277 passing yards, 3 TDs
Jones
D. Jones
85
Cousins
Cousins
100.8
Jones: 256 passing yards, 2 TDs
Cousins: 244 passing yards, 2 TDs
Burrow
Burrow
99
Jones
M. Jones
84.3
Burrow: 264 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones: 245 passing yards, 1 TD
Goff
Goff
95.8
Mayfield
Mayfield
95.8
Goff: 237 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mayfield: 251 passing yards, 2 TDs
Ridder
Ridder
79.7
Jackson
Jackson
98.5
Ridder: 234 passing yards, 1 TD
Jackson: 210 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wentz
Wentz
87.5
Lance
Lance
89.1
Wentz: 237 passing yards, 1 TD
Lance: 211 passing yards, 2 TDs
Hurts
Hurts
83.9
Prescott
Prescott
96.7
Hurts: 225 passing yards, 2 TDs
Prescott: 281 passing yards, 2 TDs
Carr
Carr
98.4
Pickett
Pickett
79.7
Carr: 251 passing yards, 2 TDs
Pickett: 234 passing yards, 1 TD
Rodgers
Rodgers
99.3
Tagovailoa
Tagovailoa
94
Rodgers: 259 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tagovailoa: 244 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson
R. Wilson
96.6
Stafford
Stafford
96.3
Wilson: 265 passing yards, 2 TDs
Stafford: 270 passing yards, 2 TDs
Brady
Brady
96.3
Murray
Murray
96.4
Brady: 293 passing yards, 2 TDs
Murray: 257 passing yards, 2 TDs
Herbert
Herbert
95.8
Ryan
Ryan
86
Herbert: 268 passing yards, 2 TDs
Ryan: 249 passing yards, 2 TDs
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

Entering last season, Dak Prescott had won six of his past seven games against the Eagles, averaging 277.3 passing yards in the process. Expect more of the same here as he projects for just a hair under 280 yards, the second most on the Week 16 slate. Prescott vs. Jalen Hurts isn't the only intriguing NFC QB matchup, as we also get Tom Brady vs. Kyler Murray.

WEEK 16 FANTASY TIP

Lamar Jackson projects for 63.1 rushing yards against the Falcons this week -- the highest projection for a QB in a single game this season. He should be a great daily fantasy play against a rebuilding Atlanta defense.

WEEK 17 CAN'T-MISS MATCHUP
WILSON VS. MAHOMES
95.9
RATE
95.7
23
CMP
25
36
ATT
38
271
YDS
284
2
TDS
2
1
INTS
1
Team favored
ESPN’s Football Power Index gives all four AFC West teams at least a 46% chance to make the postseason, which means this Broncos-Chiefs matchup could decide things down the stretch. Russell Wilson and Patrick Mahomes each could need a classic MVP moment to help put them over the top in the race.
WEEK 17 PASSER RATINGS
Team favored
Prescott
Prescott
95.5
Tannehill
Tannehill
83.5
Prescott: 278 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tannehill: 221 passing yards, 2 TDs
Murray
Murray
96.7
Ridder
Ridder
81.3
Murray: 250 passing yards, 2 TDs
Ridder: 227 passing yards, 2 TDs
Fields
Fields
85
Goff
Goff
98.6
Fields: 233 passing yards, 2 TDs
Goff: 229 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tagovailoa
Tagovailoa
94.8
Jones
M. Jones
96.3
Tagovailoa: 249 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones: 232 passing yards, 2 TDs
Ryan
Ryan
99.2
Jones
D. Jones
84.5
Ryan: 234 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones: 242 passing yards, 2 TDs
Winston
Winston
83.8
Hurts
Hurts
81.8
Winston: 241 passing yards, 2 TDs
Hurts: 217 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mayfield
Mayfield
82.5
Brady
Brady
97.6
Mayfield: 260 passing yards, 1 TD
Brady: 275 passing yards, 3 TDs
Watson
Watson
101.1
Wentz
Wentz
85.9
Watson: 231 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wentz: 234 passing yards, 2 TDs
Pickett
Pickett
77.6
Jackson
Jackson
98.1
Pickett: 245 passing yards, 1 TD
Jackson: 208 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lawrence
Lawrence
93.8
Mills
Mills
86.4
Lawrence: 242 passing yards, 2 TDs
Mills: 256 passing yards, 1 TD
Lance
Lance
90.2
Carr
Carr
96.4
Lance: 221 passing yards, 2 TDs
Carr: 255 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson
Z. Wilson
81.6
Lock
Lock
85.4
Wilson: 239 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lock: 243 passing yards, 2 TDs
Cousins
Cousins
87.7
Rodgers
Rodgers
102.7
Cousins: 262 passing yards, 2 TDs
Rodgers: 261 passing yards, 2 TDs
Stafford
Stafford
96.2
Herbert
Herbert
96.5
Stafford: 286 passing yards, 2 TDs
Herbert: 270 passing yards, 2 TDs
Allen
Allen
94.1
Burrow
Burrow
96.2
Allen: 269 passing yards, 2 TDs
Burrow: 257 passing yards, 2 TDs
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

Justin Herbert averaged more than 300 passing yards against playoff teams last season and should do his part in a potential scoring fest with Matthew Stafford and the Rams. The two passers project for more than 550 combined yards through the air, which just edges out Chiefs-Broncos for the top passing game of the week. In fact, Stafford's yardage projection is highest for any QB this week.

WEEK 17 FANTASY TIP

For the second time in a month, Russell Wilson faces the Chiefs, and the projected added pass volume could carry you to a fantasy championship. Other than a Week 2 date with Houston, Wilson's two games against Kansas City project as his top fantasy performances. Justin Fields (at Detroit) and Trevor Lawrence (at Houston) should be on the streaming radar with everything on the line.

WEEK 18 CAN'T-MISS MATCHUP
JONES VS. ALLEN
81.7
RATE
93.4
24
CMP
23
37
ATT
36
241
YDS
249
1
TDS
2
1
INTS
1
Team favored
Will the AFC East already be decided by Week 18? Mac Jones and the Patriots obviously hope that’s not the case, with Josh Allen’s Bills the heavy favorites in the division. Still, Jones is expected to take a step forward in Year 2, but it might not show much in his overall numbers, especially against a tough Buffalo defense.
WEEK 18 PASSER RATINGS
Team favored
Brady
Brady
98
Ridder
Ridder
78.9
Brady: 279 passing yards, 2 TDs
Ridder: 229 passing yards, 1 TD
Cousins
Cousins
100.2
Fields
Fields
82.8
Cousins: 257 passing yards, 2 TDs
Fields: 228 passing yards, 1 TD
Jackson
Jackson
84.7
Burrow
Burrow
97.9
Jackson: 236 passing yards, 2 TDs
Burrow: 263 passing yards, 2 TDs
Herbert
Herbert
95
Wilson
R. Wilson
96.6
Herbert: 273 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson: 260 passing yards, 2 TDs
Goff
Goff
84.7
Rodgers
Rodgers
115
Goff: 242 passing yards, 1 TD
Rodgers: 256 passing yards, 3 TDs
Mills
Mills
83.8
Ryan
Ryan
99.3
Mills: 258 passing yards, 1 TD
Ryan: 233 passing yards, 2 TDs
 Mahomes
Mahomes
95.8
 Carr
Carr
96.7
Mahomes: 289 passing yards, 3 TDs
Carr: 270 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wilson
Z. Wilson
81.5
Tagovailoa
Tagovailoa
96.7
Wilson: 239 passing yards, 2 TDs
Tagovailoa: 244 passing yards, 2 TDs
 Mayfield
Mayfield
82.6
Winston
Winston
96.9
Mayfield: 254 passing yards, 1 TD
Winston: 221 passing yards, 2 TDs
Jones
D. Jones
83.6
 Hurts
Hurts
98.4
Jones: 258 passing yards, 1 TD
Hurts: 207 passing yards, 2 TDs
 Watson
Watson
101.5
 Pickett
Pickett
80.4
Watson: 224 passing yards, 2 TDs
Pickett: 236 passing yards, 1 TD
 Murray
Murray
87.2
 Lance
Lance
102.8
Murray: 257 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lance: 217 passing yards, 2 TDs
 Stafford
Stafford
100
Lock
Lock
84.8
Stafford: 267 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lock: 253 passing yards, 1 TD
 Prescott
Prescott
96.6
 Wentz
Wentz
86.8
Prescott: 276 passing yards, 2 TDs
Wentz: 233 passing yards, 2 TDs
 Tannehill
Tannehill
87
 Lawrence
Lawrence
83
Tannehill: 228 passing yards, 2 TDs
Lawrence: 238 passing yards, 2 TDs
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

As we enter Week 18, we'll have clarity on a few big offseason questions. How big was the loss of Tyreek Hill for the Chiefs? How big was the addition of Davante Adams for the Raiders? Kansas City and Las Vegas face off in the final week of the regular season, which has Patrick Mahomes and Derek Carr projected for two of the five highest projected passing totals for the week. A playoff spot could be on the line in the big AFC West showdown.

WEEK 18 FANTASY TIP

Better late than never. Aaron Rodgers has seen his average draft position this summer dip with the loss of Davante Adams, but he has a home date with the Lions in Week 18. He projects for his season-best fantasy performance -- as well as the highest passing-touchdown projection for any player this season.

MIKE CLAY'S TOP PERFORMERS
1st
Allen
2nd
Mahomes
3rd
Herbert

There should be no surprise here if you follow my full projections. Two-time reigning No. 1-scoring fantasy QB Josh Allen puts together the best statistical season, based on my projections. A strong Buffalo roster and Allen's dual-threat ability position him as the favorite for league MVP. If you didn't notice, the Chiefs have an incredibly tough schedule, so Patrick Mahomes coming out on top in passing yardage and touchdowns is quite the feat for the former league MVP. AFC West competitor Justin Herbert finishes in the top five in passing yards and TDs. With the Chargers projected for one of the league's best records, he has a strong case to win the award.

Written by Mike Clay. Research by Kyle Soppe. Edited by Dane Beavers and Sarah Corso.

Produced by ESPN Creative Studio: Matthew Becker, Dominique DeMoe, Jarret Gabel, Luke Knox, Daniel Pellegrino, Jason Potterton, Beth Stojkov, Rachel Weiss.

Illustrations by Brian Stauffer, Eric Heintz. Photography by AP Photo, Getty Images, ESPN Illustrations