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The NHL draft is 75 percent luck, 25 percent skill

Claus Andersen/Getty Images

As the main source of NHL player acquisition, the NHL draft is a huge and often debated area of the game and -- as we discussed recently -- the most critical source of good players in the salary cap era.

People often discuss hits and misses in an NHL team's draft record: finding that gem in the fourth round, striking out on a top-10 pick, etc. As we head to the 2015 NHL draft, where many teams' futures will be heavily influenced, this column asked one important question: Can individual NHL teams show skill in being \good or bad at the NHL draft? The answer is yes; skill at the draft is about 25 percent of the results. But for the most part, the outcome is not due to the team selecting. This column explains why.


The method